The
rallies in the stock market and precious metals are strong. I have an
up week, though I wish for more. Haha. Happy V-day to all.
Here's a recap of my trading week:
Fri
sell IWM strangles @113.9, sell Mar 100 puts and sell Mar 120 calls.
A short strangle is a bet on a trading range.
Sell
GILD Mar 70 puts @81.0. I initiate a small long position in Gilead
Sciences mostly based on the chart, and seeing GILD on the losers
list.
Thu
sell AMGN Feb 110 puts rebalance @123.7. I rebalance my Amgen
position back to net long by selling puts. As for the overall stock
market, the rally is a wonder to behold.
Wed
sell VRX Mar 100 puts @140.6. I add to longs on Valeant Pharma. The
reason for 40 points out of the money is that option has 90%
probability for profit, on this volatile stock. Earnings are coming
up, and in hindsight, the premium expands further, so waiting a
couple of days to sell these would have been better.
Sell
KORS Mar 82.5 puts @96.0. I add to my long complicated long position
in Michael Kors. Again, I choose the 90% probability option to sell.
The ThinkorSwim platform has this information. For those on platforms
without this information, the delta gives a decent approximation for
probability. For example, a delta of .10 means about a 10% chance for
that option to expire in the money.
Tue
cover short BRKB Mar 115 calls rebalance @113.7. This is another
painful covering of short calls at a big loss, during this
rip-the-face off the bears stock market rally.
Sell
SPY Mar 168 puts @182.3. I close out a leg of my March put backratio.
I am taking on more risk and using up more margin, but the odds are
about 11% of a decline below 168 before March expiration.
Mon
cover short BRKB Feb 115 calls rebalance @112.6. Berkshire Hathaway
continues to bounce. I cover short calls to rebalance my complicated
position back to near neutral.
Cover
short KORS Feb 110 calls rebalance @95.6. Michael Kors is running
higher, I cover some short calls to rebalance back to a long
position. Should have never sold these calls (shakes head). A few
minutes later and it looks like a head fake on both these as KORS
fades below 95, and BRKB back to negative.
Sell
HON Mar 82.5 puts @92.6. Honeywell came up during my weekend
chart review of the stocks in the SP100. I open a small position with
a worm trade (low risk, tiny premium collected).
Sell
DIS Mar 70 puts @77.0. I double up on my long position in Disney
as it moves to new highs.
Position Summary
net
short AMBA BA BRKB TLT XRT XOP
net
long ASH GLD GS IWM KORS OXY SPY
net
neutral AMGN
long
DAL DIS GILD HON LGF MRK PG TM WFC
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