It
was a frustrating week. Several stop loss levels got triggered and I took some big losses. A mild recovery later in
the week was a small consolation prize for my losing week. Two
of my "lucky" stocks for 2016 went bad, as I took big losses in
Chipotle and Tesla. Most galling was CMG, had I held to expiration, it would have
come out fine. Instead I took big hits on two legs.
Stop losses are a philosophical question for traders. Either a person uses stops
or doesn't. If a person uses stops, there are going to be times like
this week, when the stops get run and then the stock reverses. It is
mostly a matter of when not if. If a trader uses technical support
levels, everyone else can see those same chart levels.
The
other side is that if a person doesn't use stops a trending move can
cause massive damage. The losses can go exponential for those that
sell naked options on leverage. In fast markets, margin calls and
forced liquidations can and do happen. This too is also a question of when not if. Yes, the odds or a huge trending move are smaller, but when it does happen, it can wipe out a leveraged account.
Here
are the trades (c = calls, p = puts, all are third week expiration
unless noted, sell means sell-to-open, cover means buy-to-close,
number is price per contract):
Mon Cover TSLA Jun 217.5 p 365 -500%
Cover
CMG Jun 397.5 p 913 -700%
Cover
CMG Jun 395 p 800 -600%
A
royal "flush" as I cover three legs for huge losses. The
declines in Chipotle run through my stop levels. TSLA doesn't break
it, but sold another leg of 217.5 puts so cover a bit early. Time to
regroup, try and clear my head after these destabilizing hits. My
consolation prize is at least I wasn't short LNKD calls (LinkedIn went up about 50% today and anyone short calls was obliterated).
Tue
Cover TSLA JunW5 217.5 p 675 about a 400% loss
Sell
CMG Jun 365 p 55 Chipotle closes higher after being down 10 points
Wed
Sell IWM Jul 121 c 23
Sell
SPY Jul 216 c 28
Thu
Cover VRX Jun 22.5 p 56 about a 45% loss
Sell
GLD strangle 115 p /145 c for 42
Sell
Jul GLD 115 p 23
Sell
Jul GLD 145 c 19
Sell
TLT strangle 127 p /150 c for 36
Sell
TLT Jul 127 p 16
Sell
TLT Jul 150 c 20
Sell
SPY Jul 192 p 82 add delta as market rallies
Sell
IWM Jul 101 p 30
The monthly update will come tomorrow (Sat).
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