A
pretty good, though I feel like I left some money on the table. I count 67 winners, 7 losers for the August option cycle, grade is B+. I
didn't have any major blow ups, though I did take a few large percentage losses.
Going forward I am looking for volatility to pick up. An acceleration to the upside might be the scenario that frustrates the most market participants.
Going forward I am looking for volatility to pick up. An acceleration to the upside might be the scenario that frustrates the most market participants.
Long
time readers know I sometimes mention Mercury retrograde. This is
coming August 30 and lasts about three weeks. Often times, markets go
turbulent during that time. Combine that with September often being a
month with wide swings, a lot of uncertainty over the U.S.
presidential election, and a September or October surprise is
something to look for.
Results
from best to worst:
SLV
39.1% silver
GLD
26.1% gold
EEM
16.8% emerging markets equity
TLT
15.0% U.S. 20 year treasuries
IWM
9.2% U.S. small cap
SPY
7.2% U.S. large cap
My
trading account still lags at +6.2 for the year. Real world results
are a bit worse, because the table above doesn't include the
dividends, while my account total does. Add another 1% or so to SPY
and TLT for dividends. There is good news and bad news. Good news is
that I am up. Bad news, is that I could have done a lot better. My
retirement accounts are more conservatively invested and up less than
the 6%. I tend to be a market chicken, though I take an occasion big
swing for small amounts.
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