I
count 37 winners, 7 loser for the November option cycle. Grade is C.
In the old days, there a term "gentleman's C." I am up a
smidge for the trading month. Considering how surprised I was by the
market reaction to the election, I did well to come out ahead.
Of my
four election trades placed in late August only one came in a winner.
The bets had max payoffs with gold up 10%, bonds up 7%, stocks up 5%
or down 10%. Up 5% in stocks was the only winner. Gold and bonds
dropped. Bonds and interest rate stocks dropped hard on the election
news.
I
got stopped out on a lot of trades. Almost all of them would have
been better had I held on. That said, sticking to rules is more
valuable than a few positive outcomes. The worst case of selling
naked options can be really, really bad. So I prefer to exit and take
the loss rather than risk even bigger losses, by defending or
doubling down.
Here
is the YTD summary:
SLV
+19.3% silver
IWM
+16.3% U.S. small cap stocks
GLD
+13.5% gold
EEM
+7.5% emerging market stocks
SPY
+7.2% U.S. large cap stocks
My
trading account is +8.6% so right about even with SPY when factoring
in the dividends. Not great, but not bad either. If you had offered +8% for the year on January 1st, I would have taken it. For the year, U.S. Treasury bonds have given up all of their substantial. Gold and silver have slipped back to the pack, allowing U.S. small cap stocks to get near the top.
My
schedule is busier than ever, so trading and blogging will tend to be
light. Have a Happy Thanksgiving. Anyone reading this with time and
money to invest, has a whole lot to be grateful for. Of course, there
are those with more, those with less, but we can all be grateful.
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