I
count 23 winners 1 loser for the December option cycle. Grade is B
because I lagged behind the market during the sharp rally. More than
a few premium sellers got burned by the rally. Some got burned badly.
So perhaps I was fortunate to be too busy to do much trading. Some
might see the other side, however, my history is that I lag behind
during sharp rallies. So probably I was fortunate to be too busy to
do much trading.
The
six-pack of etfs that I track from best to worst YTD:
IWM
+20.7% U.S. small cap stocks
SLV
+15.8% silver
SPY
+10.4% U.S. large cap stocks
EEM
+9.2% Emerging market equity
GLD
+6.9% gold
TLT
-2.9% U.S. 20-year Treasuries
My
trading account is at +9.8, so I am now behind SPY buy and hold. This
is what tends to happen during sharp rallies. Factor in another 2%
for the SPY annual yield and the underperformance becomes more
annoying. Still, I'll repeat that if someone told me at the beginning
of the year, I could sign up for +9%, I would have taken it. If they
had told me that when I was down more than -5% during February, I
might have been talked down to +5%.
There are no guarantees for the
trading that I do. The odds are in my favor, but even so, some will
lose, some will lose big.
I'll
take some time during the holidays to clear my head, and have more
time for trading. We will see if that means more trades, and
hopefully more profits.
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