The
recent post about The Fly and his big trading losses has me thinking
about some of the biggest losers that I've known personally. Because
there are personal stories, these are small time losses compared to
the stories in books or online, but for each person they were life
shattering.
I'll
obscure some of the details, because I don't have permission to
retell these tales and my purpose is to educate and illuminate, not
embarrass or make fun of.
First
story: The first guy invested all his money in a tech company. The
company had a new product that was expected to be a big seller. He
went all in on their stock, fully margined. The new product flopped,
the stock fell and there was a margin call. The guy borrowed money from
his mom to meet the margin call. The stock kept falling. Eventually
it was near a total loss. The guy lost most of his money, and owed
his mom money as well.
Second
story: This guy decided to try his hand at day trading. At the time I
was communicating with him, I already had over 10 years experience in the
markets and he was relatively new. He had some early successes and
decided that the game was easy. He quit his stable high paying job. There were some wins and losses, then a streak of
losses. He lost 80% of his stake in his first year, and changed
tactics and strategy. He made almost all the money back, an
incredible 400% up from the bottom. However, he kept rolling dice
using plunger tactics, poor money management, poor risk management
and eventually his account went back to the lows. This experience
scarred him for life. He became depressed. He no longer wants to hear
about the stock market, much less try to trade. One red flag to me,
was that he wanted to give me advice, even though I had many more
years experience than him. He was a very smart guy. All three guys I
write about in this post were smart, not genius level, but well above
average. What they all turned out to lack was financial wisdom.
Story
three: this guy took what I consider to be a fly-by-night course on trading
options. The firm charged a ton of money for lessons and
private coaching. There was a paper-trading platform for them to
learn on. I suspect that this platform didn't simulate live trading,
and gave the beginners a false sense of the markets. I don't know it
for a fact, but it would help their marketing, to make
trading seem easier than it is in real life. There are subtle ways to
do this that a beginner may not even notice, such as filling orders
at favorable prices. All three stories are sad, but this might be the
saddest because this third guy was the oldest of the three. He bet
his life savings on the questionable tactics taught by the trading
course. It only took a couple of months of live trading for the
account to get near zero.
In
summary, the first story, going all in on margin, then borrowing
money from mom to meet the margin call. Second story, day trading
with poor risk management, a big ego, and a plunger mentality. Third
story: a fly-by-night trading course, teaching high risk option
strategies to novice traders, likely an unrealistic paper trading
platform to practice on, and terrible risk management. Again, all
three were smart guys. Wisdom? Not so much. Risk management?
Non-existent. The first guy eventually turned his financial life
around, because he made his mistake while he was relatively young.
The other two met sadder fates.
For
new readers, trading may seem easy because so many on the Internet
write about their winners. Heck, "trading" is easy if all a
person ever does is paper trade on a fake platform, or hindsight
trade after the fact. Yes, there are a few people that are
exceptional traders, but I have never met any of them in person. I
have only read about them in books. Or perhaps I have met a few, but
they don't brag about their wizardry, so they appear to be just
another average and humble trader. The wealthiest people I know
personally got it through stock options, equity in businesses, and
real estate (on margin).
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