Friday, January 26, 2007

Volatility remains low

AdamsOption blog cites the low volatility and that options continue to trade for higher value than the historically low volatility. (link)

>>> quote
There are 2 conflicting directional interpretations here as far as I am concerned. 1) The low-low stock volatility is bearish from a complacency standpoint. and 2) the *overbid* options are bullish, mainly because the market is overpricing *accident* risk relative to the actual behavior.

My total guess is that all this combined is moderately bullish.
<<< end quote

Current positions: TXI, LEA long stock, short calls

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